Risk Factors
Major risks to the New Art Group (“the Group”) and its business operations, etc., which are considered to have a possibility of significantly impacting the judgement of investors are as follows.
Based on its recognition of the possibility of occurrence of these risks, New Art Holdings Co., Ltd. (“the Company”) makes its best efforts to avoid their occurrence, and to respond in the case of their occurrence. Although some of the risks listed here relate to future matters, they are based on judgements made as of the end of the current consolidated fiscal year.
At this present time, market shrinkage as a result of the progressively declining birth rate and tendency towards late marriage is not yet having a major impact on the Company’s business results. However, as a future strategy to respond to this risk we are considering the development of products and services that will enable us to approach a wider range of customers aside from the bridal market.
With regard to retail prices for bridal jewelry items, which are the Group’s mainstay products, there is still a trend for customers to place importance not only on low price but also quality and service, partly because these items are often viewed as once-in-a-lifetime purchases (keepsakes).
The Group aims to create products that achieve brand differentiation and offer a high level of added value, and for this reason adjusts retail prices to match raw material cost prices. However, in the event of depreciation of the yen progressing beyond anticipated levels, or if the Group is forced to engage in a price war (i.e. low-price competition) as a result of an increase in the number of rival companies and diversification of sales channels, then there is a possibility that these risks could impact the Group’s business results. In addition to introducing high-quality products, the Group will also work to build an organizational structure that will enable it to appeal to customers with regard to other attractive features aside from price, through the development of new products.
However, since sales of bridal jewelry account for the majority of the Group’s net sales revenue, there is a possibility that changes in the situation in the bridal jewelry market could impact the Group’s business results. We are therefore engaged in efforts to reduce this risk by advancing the development of new products and initiatives in new areas other than the bridal market.
In particular, Israel Shiraishi, Ltd. (the Group’s consolidated subsidiary in Israel) purchases loose diamonds from local diamond dealers at the Israel Diamond Exchange and sells products directly to the Company (as the parent company). Direct purchasing via routes such as this enables us to omit the distribution process, and enables us to cut procurement costs. In order to maintain this procurement structure, we appoint experienced purchasing personnel both at the Company and at Israel Shiraishi, Ltd.
Although the Group plans to continuously train and develop purchasing personnel, in the likely event that multiple purchasing personnel were to leave the company at once then there is a possibility that it could impact the Group’s purchasing activities.
However, in the event of sudden price fluctuations, there is a possibility that such fluctuations could impact the Group’s earnings.
The Group has established Derivate Transactions Management Regulations, and endeavors to ensure appropriate execution of duties with regard to such transactions.
Based on its recognition of the possibility of occurrence of these risks, New Art Holdings Co., Ltd. (“the Company”) makes its best efforts to avoid their occurrence, and to respond in the case of their occurrence. Although some of the risks listed here relate to future matters, they are based on judgements made as of the end of the current consolidated fiscal year.
1. Bridal Jewelry Business
[1] Industry situation, and conditions surrounding the industry (low birth rate, late marriage, etc.)
The Group’s mainstay products are bridal jewelry items such as engagement rings and wedding rings. With the progressively declining birthrate and growing trend towards late marriage, the bridal jewelry market is expected to shrink in the medium to long term. The number of marriages taking place per year has actually fallen, from a peak of around 1.1 million in 1972 to around 0.59 million in 2018. There are also predictions that the bridal jewelry market is in a shrinking trend, and there is a possibility that this could impact the Group’s business results.At this present time, market shrinkage as a result of the progressively declining birth rate and tendency towards late marriage is not yet having a major impact on the Company’s business results. However, as a future strategy to respond to this risk we are considering the development of products and services that will enable us to approach a wider range of customers aside from the bridal market.
[2] Changes in retail prices and customer spend
According to research by a private-sector research company, retail prices for diamond engagement rings are in a downward trend. At the same time, there is a continuing upward trend in precious metal (platinum, etc.) bullion prices in the long term, although there is also some impact from raw material supply-demand balance and currency exchange rate fluctuations.With regard to retail prices for bridal jewelry items, which are the Group’s mainstay products, there is still a trend for customers to place importance not only on low price but also quality and service, partly because these items are often viewed as once-in-a-lifetime purchases (keepsakes).
The Group aims to create products that achieve brand differentiation and offer a high level of added value, and for this reason adjusts retail prices to match raw material cost prices. However, in the event of depreciation of the yen progressing beyond anticipated levels, or if the Group is forced to engage in a price war (i.e. low-price competition) as a result of an increase in the number of rival companies and diversification of sales channels, then there is a possibility that these risks could impact the Group’s business results. In addition to introducing high-quality products, the Group will also work to build an organizational structure that will enable it to appeal to customers with regard to other attractive features aside from price, through the development of new products.
[3] Sales strategies specialized towards bridal jewelry
The Group’s share in the bridal jewelry market is estimated at around 8%, and we believe that there is sufficient room for growth based on our unique business model. Due to factors such as the stability of the market itself and the Group’s numerous advantages (which include cost leadership through the direct purchase of high-quality diamonds, strong brand strategy to overwhelm competitors, a well-established feedback system with extensive experience and expertise for constantly ascertaining the needs of customers and reflecting them in our products, and human resources with specialized knowledge), we believe that the potential risk of specialization towards the bridal jewelry market remains low in the short- to medium-term.However, since sales of bridal jewelry account for the majority of the Group’s net sales revenue, there is a possibility that changes in the situation in the bridal jewelry market could impact the Group’s business results. We are therefore engaged in efforts to reduce this risk by advancing the development of new products and initiatives in new areas other than the bridal market.
[4] Media used to attract customers
The Group is currently bolstering efforts to attract customers for the Bridal Jewelry business via the Internet, in addition to the wedding information magazines and referrals from partner companies that we have traditionally placed a primary focus on. We view the performance of all methods for attracting customers calmly from an overhead perspective, and will constantly consider ways to maintain a good balance of advertising styles. We strive to operate with a focus on cost-effectiveness, and aim to attract more customers across the board by implementing highly reliable marketing strategies through the effective allocation of expenses.[5] Procurement methods and development of purchasing staff
The Group purchases loose diamonds from Israel and Belgium.In particular, Israel Shiraishi, Ltd. (the Group’s consolidated subsidiary in Israel) purchases loose diamonds from local diamond dealers at the Israel Diamond Exchange and sells products directly to the Company (as the parent company). Direct purchasing via routes such as this enables us to omit the distribution process, and enables us to cut procurement costs. In order to maintain this procurement structure, we appoint experienced purchasing personnel both at the Company and at Israel Shiraishi, Ltd.
Although the Group plans to continuously train and develop purchasing personnel, in the likely event that multiple purchasing personnel were to leave the company at once then there is a possibility that it could impact the Group’s purchasing activities.
[6] Overseas situations
The Group’s main procurement source for the Bridal Jewelry business is Israel Shiraishi, Ltd., a consolidated subsidiary located in Israel, which buys loose diamonds and other items at the Israel Diamond Exchange. Although the diamond exchange has not been closed even during the breakout of war in neighboring countries in recent times, depending on the degree to which the situation in the Middle East worsens it may become necessary to suspend activities in Israel and evacuate staff from the consolidated subsidiary to elsewhere in order to ensure their safety, as a top priority. In such an eventuality, the Group plans to procure loose diamonds and other items from alternative suppliers in Belgium or other diamond markets. However, there is a possibility that such circumstances could temporarily impact the Group’s purchasing activities.[7] Price fluctuations and international market prices for loose diamonds
The purchasing price of loose diamonds is influenced by fluctuations in international distribution prices in the global diamond market, and by currency exchange rate fluctuations in the same way as bullion prices. Despite growing demand in emerging countries which have displayed remarkable economic growth in recent years, we believe that we will be still able to purchase and sell the comparatively small-sized types of diamond used in engagement rings in a relatively stable market environment moving forward.However, in the event of sudden price fluctuations, there is a possibility that such fluctuations could impact the Group’s earnings.
[8] Price fluctuations for precious metal bullion
The Group purchases platinum, gold and other precious metal bullion as raw materials for its jewelry. In some cases, the price of bullion is subject to significant increases due to international situations, and there is a possibility that sudden price fluctuations could impact the Group’s earnings.[9] Impact on business results due to currency exchange rate fluctuations
The Group is able to utilize forward exchange contract derivative transactions, not for speculative purposes, but rather to reduce the impact of currency exchange rate fluctuations when purchasing loose diamonds from overseas.The Group has established Derivate Transactions Management Regulations, and endeavors to ensure appropriate execution of duties with regard to such transactions.